Nepal
– Trade Policy
Macro
Economic Situation-
The average GDP growth rate since Nepal acceded to WTO in
2004 is 3.8 percent during the period of 2004/05 to2010/11. Nepal is engaged in
a transformation process moving its economy away from predominantly agricultural
sector to services and industrial sectors though the desired changes have not
been accomplished. The contribution of the services sector has been gradually
increasing over the years. Its share reached 50.1 percent of GDP in 2010/11
which was 45.9 percent in 2004/05. The shares of Agriculture and Industry in
GDP have been decreasing, reaching 34.9 percent and 15.0 percent in 2010/11from
37.4 percent and 16.6 percent respectively in 2004/05. During the same period,
Nominal Per-capita GDP has increased from USD 328 to 642. The total volume of
trade doubled in 2009/10 in comparison to that of 2004/05. In the total trade
volume, export share decreased drastically from 28.2percent in 2004/05 to
14.1percent in 2010/11 and import share increased from 71.8 to 85.9 percent.
Some
Major Macroeconomic Indicators of Nepal
Fiscal Year
|
2004/05
|
2005/06
|
2006/07
|
2007/08
|
2008/09
|
2009/10
|
2010/11
|
In NRs Billion at 2000-2001 Prices
|
GDP in
Basic Prices
|
463.2
|
480.4
|
493.7
|
522.3
|
542.0
|
563.5
|
583.0
|
Agriculture
|
179.8
|
183.0
|
184.8
|
195.6
|
201.5
|
204.0
|
212.4
|
Industry
|
79.9
|
83.5
|
86.8
|
88.3
|
87.1
|
90.0
|
91.2
|
Services
|
220.6
|
233.0
|
243.5
|
261.4
|
277.1
|
293.9
|
304.5
|
Share of Different Sectors in Real GDP
|
Agriculture
|
37.4
|
36.6
|
35.9
|
35.9
|
35.6
|
34.7
|
34.9
|
Industry
|
16.6
|
16.7
|
16.9
|
16.2
|
15.4
|
15.3
|
15.0
|
Services
|
45.9
|
46.7
|
47.3
|
48.0
|
49.0
|
50.0
|
50.1
|
GDP
Growth Rate
|
3.2
|
3.7
|
2.8
|
5.8
|
3.8
|
4.0
|
3.5
|
In Nominal Prices
|
Total
Trade ( in NRs Billion )
|
208.2
|
234.0
|
254.1
|
281.2
|
352.17
|
435.2
|
459.46
|
Export
F. O. B.
|
58.7
|
60.2
|
59.4
|
59.3
|
67.70
|
60.8
|
64.56
|
Import
C. I. B.
|
149.5
|
173.8
|
194.7
|
221.9
|
284.47
|
374.3
|
394.9
|
Total
Expenditure (in NRs Billion)
|
102.6
|
110.9
|
133.6
|
161.4
|
219.66
|
259.7
|
306.3
|
Recurrent
|
62.7
|
67.0
|
77.1
|
91.5
|
127.74
|
151.0
|
180.2
|
Capital
|
27.3
|
29.6
|
39.7
|
53.5
|
73.09
|
90.2
|
108.08
|
Principal
Re – Payment
|
13.5
|
14.3
|
16.8
|
16.4
|
18.83
|
18.4
|
18.04
|
Total
Reciepts (in NRs Billion)
|
84.5
|
86.1
|
103.5
|
127.9
|
169.86
|
218.5
|
304.22
|
Revenue
|
70.1
|
72.3
|
87.7
|
107.6
|
143.47
|
179.9
|
206.35
|
Foreign
Grants
|
14.4
|
13.8
|
15.8
|
20.3
|
26.38
|
38.6
|
49.33
|
Foreign
Loans
|
9.3
|
8.2
|
10.1
|
9.0
|
9.97
|
11.2
|
14.86
|
Total
Population (in Millions)
|
24.48
|
24.82
|
25.17
|
25.52
|
25.88
|
26.24
|
26.60
|
Per
Capital GDP (US $)
|
328
|
350
|
390
|
464
|
465
|
556
|
642
|
Average
Annual Pop. Growth rate
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1.4%
|
Foreign
Employment
|
139,718
|
165,252
|
204,533
|
249,051
|
219,965
|
294,094
|
354,716
|
Exchange
Rate (NRS per 1 USD)
|
72.06
|
72.32
|
70.49
|
65.02
|
76.88
|
74.57
|
72.27
|
Agriculture
-
Traditionally Nepal is an agrarian country, agriculture
contributing around 34.9 percent of total national GDP and more than 73 percent
of total employment. Agriculture occupies around 18 percent of total land area
of the country, of which less than 50 percent of cultivated area is irrigated.
It is the backbone of rural livelihood. Major agricultural products include
paddy, wheat, maize, barley, millet, potato, lentils, tea, sugarcane, coffee,
ginger and large cardamom; and some of these are also exportable products.
However, the sector grew at 2.81 percent, slightly more than the growth rate of
the population, during 2004/05-2010/11. Agriculture in Nepal, despite six
decades of development efforts, has remained underdeveloped. Except a few
commercial farming, agriculture is suffering from low productivity, small and
subsistence farming, land fragmentation, use of primitive technology, low
investment, lack of R&D, and poor input output market structure. Besides,
decreasing number of farm workers, inadequate irrigation and agricultural
extension services coupled with limited agricultural financing have had adverse
effect on agricultural productivity.
Agriculture is important for Nepalese economy not only
for providing an end product but also for raw materials to industries and
tradable items. Significant numbers of industries in Nepal are based on
agricultural products. Similarly, agricultural products occupy a considerable
share in Nepal’s export. Realizing the importance of agriculture for national
livelihood, promoting employment and income generation, earning foreign
exchange, ensuring food sufficiency and meeting the need for consumption and
trade, the Government introduced a long term Agriculture Perspective Plan (APP)
for 20 years in 1995. In continuation of the long term agriculture plan, the
Government is currently formulating Agriculture Development Strategy (ADS).
Especially after the recent global food crisis, it has put high emphasis on
agriculture development. Accordingly, it is undertaking several measures to
correct the past inefficiencies of this sector. In particular, it intends to
commercialize the agriculture sector and enhance its production and
productivity by expanding extension services and irrigation facilities,
promoting the use of modern technology and R&D. It has also emphasized
cooperative farming.
Trade Policy 2009 and the Nepal Trade Integration
Strategy (NTIS) 2010 have identified several agricultural products such as
lentils, tea, coffee, ginger, large cardamom, jute etc. as potential goods for
export. The organic farming is emerging as a potential sector for generating
income and export. The Government is planning to promote further the production
and marketing of these products in order to increase agro and industrial
production, income, employment and trade. In this regard, development of SPS
laboratories in major customs points is highly essential. There is a need to
create an internationally recognized accreditation mechanism to standardize
such laboratories.